FSM News

Larger numbers of Americans with a high school degree or less were reported returning to the labor force, citing a wide growth of the economy, however, wage growth may still be controlled while the Fed could focus on its hiking cycle.    

Ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting, rates are expected to remain on hold. Slack in the labor market is closely watched to forecast potential growth of the economy without fueling inflation.  

Percentage points of Americans with ages 25 and older without high school diplomas who are currently employed or are still looking for a job rallied by about 1.4 to 46.2 percent in six months to March, nearly posting to the prior levels during the recession of the year 2007-09.

Meanwhile, shares of high school graduates have witnessed increase to a half percentage point, while for college degrees, the rate has progressed steadily.  

As a large number of Americans have returned to the labor force, it suggests that the economy is still in the pace of recovery from the recession.


Economists at Georgetown University, said that Americans without high school diplomas have accounted closely four out of every five jobs lost amid the recession. As numbers of workers are expected in the realm of a great risk, concerns rises as a potential tension might occur in the labor market amid spells of uncertainties on the growth of the economy.  

According to analysts’ data, it implies that there is a more potential slack in the labor market, compared to the suggested 5 percent unemployment rate as the progressing economy has begun encouraging less-skilled workers to find for jobs again.    

To be considered part of the labor force, a worker needs to have held down a job or is actively looking for one in the last four weeks. There were more than 6 million Americans who have failed to meet such criteria in any given month last year before the recession kicked off.

Apparently, Nathan Patterson, 24, who has left high school in Illinois without holding a degree was later moved to Raleigh, North Carolina, happened to be discouraged citing concerns of poor job prospects from searching for work consistently.

As a large number of job openings were posted, he looked for another one until he finally found a job with a company in line with scrap steel last year in January.        

"I went from having nothing to having something," Patterson said.


He makes $10 an hour with sweeping chore, lower than the national average of $25.43 an hour, and trains to run such cranes as well as cut steel torches.  

Potential Rate Hike

Ahead of the slump in North Carolina and numbers of workers shut out of the workforce, where unemployment has hit nationally, robustly healed fueled by a solid growth in low-wage sectors like retail, including leisure and hospitality industries.

The country has created closely a third of new jobs nationally since last year, despite positioning fifth of the total employment. Percentage points of those industries range to 30-40 percent lower than the national hourly average and is a sign that the national wage growth is moving slowly amid the past months.   

Economist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch Michell Meyer said, "There is more room to run in this cycle and that means the Fed can afford to go slower on rate hikes in the beginning,"

Furthermore, economists anticipate the Fed to start raising rates twice this year, with the first move conceivably in June, continuing with caution as concerns over the sluggish global economy of the U.S.